The AP-Yahoo News poll, conducted by Knowledge Networks, is part of an ongoing study that tracks the attitudes and opinions of a scientifically selected group of more than 2,000 Americans to see how their political views evolve over the course of the campaign.
Yahoo poll found that 53 percent of the Democrats who favored Clinton for the nomination two months ago now back Obama for president:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080626/ap_on_el_pr/ap_yahoo_poll_clinton_voters_1

Twenty-three percent of Clinton's backers picked Republican John McCain over Obama.
Of the rest, 16 percent were undecided, 5 percent were for independent candidate Ralph Nader and 3 percent said someone else.
The AP-Yahoo News survey of 1,759 adults had an overall margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.

(note from the diarist: many estimate that McCain needs just 10% of Clinton supporters to win in November)

As I promised today in my "Point of no Return" diary:
http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/6/7/13195 9/1614
I am publishing my answers on 17 questions, which I got from DNC today,
because they choose me as representative of my town in their
"official DNC 2008 Presidential Campaign Survey"
(I guess I sent too much money to Hillary and somebody forced her to share her database).
Feel free to discount my honest answers, because I have a habit to support losers:
Gore (actually a winner), Dean, Kerry, Hillary (actually a winner, if you discount RBC crime and caucus fraud).

1. Age: 18-30/31-40/41-50/51-64/65+

2. How often do you vote for Democratic candidates?
Multiple choice: always/often/rarely/never,
My answer: ALWAYS

3. How likely are you to vote in the 2008 elections?
Multiple choice: very/somewhat/not likely
My answer: VERY LIKELY

4. Have you participate in any of the following campaign activities?
non-exclusive multiple options: volunteering/phone calls/organizing event/door-to-door
My answer: ALL OF THE ABOVE

5. How closely have you been following the 2008 presidential campaign?
Multiple choice: very/closely/somewhat/not at all
My answer: VERY CLOSELY.

6. How optimistic are you that a Democrat will win the White House in 2008:
Multiple choice: very/optimistic/not very/pessimistic
My answer: PESSIMISTIC

7. Do you believe that John McCain's pledge to keep troops in Iraq for another 100 years will be a liability in the General Election?
Multiple choice: yes/no/unsure
My answer: YES

8. Which issues would you like the Democratic presidential nominee to focus on in the campaign? Please rate 1-14, 1 is most important.
Options are with my rate:

1. Health Care
   
2. Jobs/Economy
   
3. Social Security
   
4. Education
   
5. Environment
   
6. Iraq
   
7. Energy policy
   
8. Taxes
   
9. Civil rights/liberties
   
10. Reproductive rights
    
11. Immigration
    
12. Ethics in government
    
13. Homeland Security
    
14. Stem Cell Research
    

9. Which of the following strategies do you think is the key to electing more Democrats in November?
Multiple choice: grassroots/tv adds/ensuring every vote counts/all of above
My answer: ALL OF ABOVE

10. Do you support 50 States Strategy:
Multiple choice: support/oppose
my answer: OPPOSE

11. How likely GOP will "Swift Boat" democratic nominee?
Multiple choice: very/somewhat/not likely
my answer: VERY LIKELY

12. How concerned are that GOP will use voter suppression?
Multiple choice: very/somewhat/not concerned
my answer: VERY CONCERNED

13. What is you main source of information?
Multiple choice: tv/radio/newspapers/newsmagazines/intern et/other
my answer: INTERNET

14. Do you think media biased in favor GOPs/Dems?
Multiple choice: favoring Dems/GOPs/neither/not sure.
my answer: BIASED IN FAVOR OF REPUBLICANS.

15. If you could offer an advise to Democratic nominee, what it would be - please write below.
my answer: SEE http://www.mydd.com/user/engels

16. Will you join the DNC as a contributing member?
Multiple choice: yes/no
my answer: NO

17. If yes on 16, please contribute $25/35/50/100/other.

As much I love Hillary, it is time for me to stop.
She repeated multiple times today to the point when my blood was about to boil:
"We must help to elect Barack Obama as president".
Thanks Mrs. Clinton, but no thanks!
No my support for that man from me and shame you,
Democrats, RBC, DNC and all those people who
forced Hillary to say this speech today.

I just get 2008 Presidential Campaign Survey from DNC with 17 questions, including request for contribution.
And I return it with my honest and refusal to support people who did what RBC did.
I will publish this survey with my answers as an update of this diary or as separate diary or, if I will be banned, on other site.
But it is obvious what questions are and what my answers are.

Even she is suspending her campaign:
in latest CBS Poll, see
http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/may08b -GENERALELECTION.pdf
Hillary outpolling Obama against McCain:

IF THE CANDIDATES WERE CLINTON VS. MCCAIN WHO WOULD YOU VOTE FOR?
(Among registered voters)
Clinton 50% McCain 41 Undecided 6

Obama does less than that:
IF THE ELECTION WERE TODAY, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR...?
(Among registered voters)
Obama 48% McCain 42 Undecided 6 Won't vote 3.

DEMOCRATS: CHOICE OF OBAMA VS. MCCAIN
(Among registered voters)
Among Clinton supporters: only 63% planning to vote for Obama,
22% will vote for McCain, 7% undecided, and 8% will not vote.

Poll said that 37% of Clinton supporters are not ready to vote for Obama.

Despite:

• massively outspent by Obama in SD and huge support for Obama from mass media,
  
• massive leaks today about supers,
  
• all speeches about change and
  
• all campaigning by Obama in SD,
  
• huge support from surrogates like Dashle,

Hillary won today in South Dakota!

Voters in SD obviously disagree with RBC and Supers.
Congratulation to Hillary and I hope she will stay in a race.
All these Supers will have 2 months to switch back to her and
may be FL&MI will be seated in full and stolen delegates can be return to the winner and to uncommitted state.

It is obvious she is better fighter, better finisher and better candidate!

see here:
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/06/03 clinton-campaign-says-she-will-not-conc ede-tonight
 June 3, 2008, 11:59 am
Clinton Campaign Says She Will Not Concede Tonight

Susan Davis reports on the presidential race.

Shortly after the Associated Press reported that Sen. Hillary Clinton was going to concede that Sen. Barack Obama has the delegates to win the nomination in her speech tonight in New York, Clinton's campaign issued a one-line statement refuting the report.

"The AP story is incorrect. Senator Clinton will not concede the nomination this evening," the campaign said.

I  am trying to understand what she wants:

1. She obviously convinced that she is the better candidate (I agreed) and that Obama will lose to McCain (agreed again).

• So one of her thoughts is simply if Dems want to lose (like RBC vote yesterday did show), they will nominate Obama.
  
• It means that McCain will be the president and Clinton will say: I told you so.
  
• And many of her supporters regardless of what she will do or say, will vote for McCain, if Obama nominated.
  
• And than she will use national organization she built and national support she got in 2008 to run in 2012.

2. She can keep running until convention, because endorsement from Superdelegates means nothing until convention and Obama will not have 2118 before August, because Supers cannot cast their vote.

• Meanwhile GOPs will swiftboat Obama, supers will switch to her and in addition she will seat all FL & MI delegates in accordance with their  vote.
  
• she may want to restore normal 2210 magic number - good cause for it.

3. She can try harder right after June 3rd and try to convince Supers to endorse her and switch to her. It is the most aggressive and risky option, but she can do that with many good arguments:

• no caucuses in November means almost all red states with caucuses won by Obama will go to McCain, so his advantage in delegates is misleading.
  
• most states where Obama won because of black vote will go to McCain. In NC & MO she is currently beating McCain, but Obama losing; in MD McCain will lose anyway.
  
• she has excellent chances in swing states, while Obama is very risky proposition there.

4. She can choose to run as independent, because in 3-way race she will win blue states like MA and McCain will win red states like Utah.

• Most Hillary's supporters will support her if she will run as independent.
  
• She will get Latino, white working, woman and senior votes for the same reason she got it in primaries.
  
• Obama will have almost no chances in 3-way election, while Hillary will be very competitive, see this for example:
  

Democrats should and will regret the stupidity and illegitimacy of RBC ruling.
Expect this will be discussed everywhere, start here:
http://blogs.abcnews.com/thisweek/2008/0 5/coming-up-gibbs.html
GOPs think that RBC gave huge talking points to McCain.

Stupid part:
50% cut is like cutting of the baby in half, which Solomon will object; but RBC people not as wise as Solomon, see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judgment_of _Solomon

Illegitimate part:
RBC has no right to assign uncommitted votes to the guy who was not even on the ballot;
and RBC has no right to steal 4 delegates from Hillary and give it to the guy who was not even  on the ballot.
In total, they decrease - illegitimately - Hillary's count of pledged delegates by 2 and
they increase illegitimately - Obama's  count of pledged delegates by 29.5. If you will take
1722-1586 count from
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ 2008/president/democratic_delegate_count .html
you have to correct it this way:
1692.5-1588